Overview

Information paper

On 17 December 2021 we released our Rate of Return information paper, the start of the Making the Instrument papers and activities. The information paper sets out the priority topics that will be the focus of the experts' Concurrent Evidence Sessions in February and calls for submissions.

Update

During the 2018 Rate of Return Instrument process, we received a note from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) containing two estimates related to the gamma parameter. We placed limited weight on this information from the ATO for several reasons.

We have received an update of the 2018 note from the ATO and, as noted in the Overall Rate of Return working paper and the Information Paper, we are currently investigating the possible use of the ATO note to inform gamma.

ATO Note - Franking account reconciliation - 28 October 2021

Download
Authors
Australian Taxation Office (ATO)
Content type
Document

ATO Note - Franking account reconciliation - 11 December 2018

Download
Authors
Australian Taxation Office (ATO)
Content type
Document

Supporting information

We have published below our correspondence with the RBA in relation to our work on the market risk premium (MRP).

HoustonKemp provided a review of the RBA's research discussion paper 2019-04, A History of Australian Equities, for Energy Networks Australia (ENA). This paper as well as HoustonKemp's correspondence is published below.

AER letter to RBA on MRP - 14 September 2021

Download
Authors
AER
Content type
Document

RBA letter to AER - 1 October 2021

Download
Authors
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)
Content type
Document

Submissions

-

We invited interested stakeholders to make submissions on both our final omnibus paper and this information paper. Submissions closed on 11 March 2022.

AGIG SAPN VPN - 2022 Rate of Return Instrument review - Omnibus papers final - Submission - 11 March 2022

Download
Authors
Australian Gas Infrastructure Group (AGIG)
SA Power Networks
Powercor and United Energy
CitiPower
Content type
Document

APGA - 2022 Rate of Return Instrument information paper - Submission - 11 March 2022

Download
Authors
Australian Pipelines and Gas Association (APGA)
Content type
Document

AusNet - Rate of Return 2022 information paper - Submission - 11 March 2022

Download
Authors
AusNet Services
Content type
Document

CRG - Rate of Return Instrument information paper - Submission - 11 March 2022

Download
Authors
Consumer Reference Group (CRG)
Content type
Document

Endeavour Energy - Rate of Return information paper - Submission - 11 March 2022

Download
Authors
Endeavour Energy
Content type
Document

GIIA - AER final omnibus paper - Submission - 11 March 2022

Download
Authors
Global Infrastructure Investor Association (GIIA)
Content type
Document

Jemena - AER information paper - Submission - 11 March 2022

Download
Authors
Jemena
Content type
Document

Kevin Cox - Rate of Return - Submission 65402

Download
Authors
Kevin Cox
Content type
Document

NSG - AER Rate of Return information paper and Omnibus final working paper - Submission - 11 March 2022

Download
Authors
Network Shareholder Group (NSG)
Content type
Document

QTC - Submission - AER Rate of Return information paper and final working papers

Download
Authors
Queensland Treasury Corporation (QTC)
Content type
Document

QTC - Submission attachment - Synergies Feb 2022 - Summary of independent expert report analysis

Download
Authors
Synergies Economic Consulting
Content type
Document

QTC - Submission attachment - PTRM-weighted trailing average cost of debt example

Download
Authors
Queensland Treasury Corporation (QTC)
Content type
Document

Letter from the Consumer Reference Group to the Independent Panel - 16 March 2022

Download
Authors
Consumer Reference Group (CRG)
Content type
Document

Late submissions

On 11 April 2022, we received the following memo from ENA summarising their views on reaching a cost of equity estimate in the 2022 Rate of Return Instrument applying regulatory discretion.

ENA Memorandum - Follow-up to AER Board Discussions on RORI - 30 March 2022

Download
Authors
Energy Networks Australia (ENA)
Content type
Document

Evidence session

-

As part of our stakeholder engagement on the 2022 Rate of Return Instrument we held evidence sessions to hear expert opinions about the proposed instrument. We called for nominations of eligible experts and also considered whether there are other expert opinions that can inform our decision. The Evidence Sessions were held in four 2.5 hour sessions across two separate days, 10 and 17 February 2022.

The topics covered and the related experts 
Session number Session date Session time (AEDT) Topics to be covered Experts
1 10 February 2022 9:30 am to 12 noon

Energy Infrastructure Credit
Spread Index (EICSI)

Equity beta

  • Glenn Boyle
  • Jim Hancock
  • Tom Hird
  • Dinesh Kumareswaran
  • Martin Lally
2 10 February 2022 1:30 to 4 pm

Term of rate of return

Weighted trailing average

  • Glenn Boyle
  • Jim Hancock
  • Tom Hird
  • Dinesh Kumareswaran
  • Martin Lally
  • Graham Partington
3 17 February 2022 9:30 am to 12:30 pm Market Risk Premium
  • Glenn Boyle
  • Toby Brown
  • Dinesh Kumareswaran
  • Martin Lally
  • Jonathan Mirrlees-Black
  • Graham Partington
4 17 February 2022 2:00 to 4:30 pm

Cross-checks

Overall rate of return

  • Glenn Boyle
  • Toby Brown
  • Jim Hancock
  • Dinesh Kumareswaran
  • Jonathan Mirrlees-Black
  • Graham Partington

A detailed agenda for each session is available below. The sessions were closed to allow detailed and natural discussion between the AER Board and the participating experts.

A meeting note from the experts conclave held on 27 January 2022 is available below as well as additional questions received from stakeholders for consideration.

AER - Detailed agenda for evidence sessions - February 2022

Download
Authors
AER
Content type
Document

Tom Hird - Session 1 - EICSI presentation - February 2022

Download
Authors
Tom Hird
Content type
Document

Martin Lally - Session 1 - Industry debt index - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Martin Lally
Content type
Document

Dinesh Kumareswaran - Session 1 - EICSI slide - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dinesh Kumareswaran
Content type
Document

Tom Hird - Session 1 - EICSI summary of views - February 2022

Download
Authors
Tom Hird
Content type
Document

Glenn Boyle - Session 1 - Equity beta presentation - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Glenn Boyle
Content type
Document

Dinesh Kumareswaran - Session 1 - Equity Beta presentation - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dinesh Kumareswaran
Content type
Document

Martin Lally - Session 2 - Term of the rate of return - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Martin Lally
Content type
Document

Dinesh Kumareswaran - Session 2 - Term presentation - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dinesh Kumareswaran
Content type
Document

Graham Partington - Session 2 - Weighted Trailing Average presentation - February 2022

Download
Authors
Prof Graham Partington
Content type
Document

Graham Partington - Session 3 - MRP presentation - February 2022

Download
Authors
Prof Graham Partington
Content type
Document

Jonathan Mirrlees-Black - Session 3 and 4 - MRP and cross checks - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Jonathan Mirrlees-Black
Content type
Document

Martin Lally - Session 3 - MRP notes - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Martin Lally
Content type
Document

Glenn Boyle - Session 3 - MRP presentation - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Glenn Boyle
Content type
Document

Dinesh Kumareswaran - Session 3 - MRP presentation - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dinesh Kumareswaran
Content type
Document

Dinesh Kumareswaran - Session 4 - RAB multiples - February 2022

Download
Authors
Dinesh Kumareswaran
Content type
Document

Jonathan Mirrlees-Black - Session 4 - Addendum on financeability - March 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Jonathan Mirrlees-Black
Content type
Document

AER - Expert conclave meeting summary - 27 January 2022

Download
Authors
AER
Content type
Document

ENA - Suggested questions for evidence sessions - January 2022

Download
Authors
Energy Networks Australia (ENA)
Content type
Document

CRG - Suggested questions for evidence sessions - January 2022

Download
Authors
Consumer Reference Group (CRG)
Content type
Document

Martin Lally - Some thoughts on the upcoming expert sessions - 30 January 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Martin Lally
Content type
Document

Dinesh Kumareswaran - Correspondence with AER - Additional question - 2 February 2022

Download
Authors
Dinesh Kumareswaran
Content type
Document

Graham Partington - Comment on Lally's term analysis - 7 February 2022

Download
Authors
Prof Graham Partington
Content type
Document

Glenn Boyle - Comments on the notes - 9 February 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Glenn Boyle
Content type
Document

Martin Lally - Expert Session 1 - Further notes - 14 February 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Martin Lally
Content type
Document

Dinesh Kumareswaran - Follow up to first CES - 15 February 2022

Download
Authors
Dinesh Kumareswaran
Content type
Document

Martin Lally - Expert session 3 - MRP further notes - 18 February 2022

Download
Authors
Dr Martin Lally
Content type
Document

Update

We commissioned this work following stakeholder submissions on the Overall rate of return draft working paper that Regulated Asset Base (RAB) multiples should be used as a cross check. Cambridge Economic Policy Associates (CEPA) were engaged to analyse RAB trading multiples and their report is now published below. We will accept submissions on the CEPA report along with submissions on the draft rate of return Instrument.

CEPA - EV RAB Multiples Report

Download
Authors
Cambridge Economics Policy Associates Ltd
Content type
Document

CEPA - EV RAB Historical Model

Download
Authors
Cambridge Economics Policy Associates Ltd
Content type
Document

CEPA - Inference Model

Download
Authors
Cambridge Economics Policy Associates Ltd
Content type
Document

Submissions

In response to the publication of the CEPA report, ENA and AusNet Services have provided the following submissions.

ENA - 2022 Rate of Return Instrument Review - CEPA Report EV/RAB Multiples - 27 May 2022

Download
Authors
Energy Networks Australia (ENA)
Content type
Document

Frontier Economics - Analysis of RAB multiples - 27 May 2022

Download
Authors
Frontier Economics
Content type
Document